Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal Villanovense
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.44) 0.59 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.1% 19.3% 9.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.0%
1 - 0
15.0%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Diocesano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villanovense 0 7.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.0% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillanovenseDiocesano
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack11%11%
Defense61%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villanovense Diocesano
HATHAT
Played111324121123
Wins64%15%38%33%0%17%
Draws9%54%33%33%36%35%
Loses27%31%29%33%64%48%

Form: Villanovense: WWWDWLWDLLDLWDLWDDWDLWLD • Diocesano: DDDWLWLDDLLDDWLLLLLWLLD

League goals

Metric Villanovense Diocesano
HATHAT
GF total1972616622
GF avg1.70.51.11.30.51.0
GA total141024181937
GA avg1.30.81.01.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillanovenseDiocesano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%67%61%74%
1.529%21%22%39%
2.517%4%9%30%
3.54%4%4%13%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillanovenseDiocesano
HATHAT
Clean sheets268426
Failed to score3710459

Penalties

MetricVillanovenseDiocesano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVillanovenseDiocesano
Wins31
Draws23
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-13-1—
Biggest losses0-52-01-54-1
Goals For4241
Goals Against5254

Model comparison

MetricVillanovenseDiocesano
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h36%64%
Goals17%83%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Diocesano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away6.09 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Villanovense = 2.00 (league 1.44), Diocesano = 0.59 (league 1.10)

Diocesano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villanovense 0 7.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.0% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.1% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 9.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1