Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal Emilio Macarro Rodriguez
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.46)
0.64 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.0% | 42.1% | 31.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.5%
0 - 1
19.5%
1 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cabeza Buey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montijo | 0 | 30.5% | 19.5% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montijo | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 35% | 35% |
| Defense | 65% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montijo | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 54% | 25% | 40% | 50% | 31% | 40% |
| Draws | 15% | 25% | 20% | 42% | 46% | 44% |
| Loses | 31% | 50% | 40% | 8% | 23% | 16% |
Form: Montijo: WLDLWWLWLWWWDLWWLLLLDLDWD • Cabeza Buey: DLDDDDWWWDWWDDWDDWWLWLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Montijo | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 18 | 13 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 9 | 19 | 28 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montijo | Cabeza Buey | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 76% | 72% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 28% | 32% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 4% | 20% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montijo | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montijo | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montijo | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montijo | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Cabeza Buey
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montijo = 0.55 (league 1.46), Cabeza Buey = 0.64 (league 1.09)
| Cabeza Buey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montijo | 0 | 30.5% | 19.5% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 42.1% · Away win 31.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1