Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.47)
0.41 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.2% | 32.3% | 13.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.1%
0 - 0
21.1%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Villanovense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 21.1% | 8.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.1% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moralo | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 82% | 64% |
| Defense | 91% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moralo | Villanovense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 67% | 38% | 52% | 67% | 15% | 40% |
| Draws | 17% | 46% | 32% | 8% | 54% | 32% |
| Loses | 17% | 15% | 16% | 25% | 31% | 28% |
Form: Moralo: DDDWLWDLWWLDDWWWDWWLDWWWW • Villanovense: WWWDWLWDLLDLWDLWDDWDLWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Moralo | Villanovense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 16 | 41 | 24 | 7 | 31 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 14 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moralo | Villanovense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 64% | 60% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 20% | 32% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 12% | 20% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 4% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moralo | Villanovense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moralo | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moralo | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moralo | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Moralo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moralo = 1.14 (league 1.47), Villanovense = 0.41 (league 1.09)
| Villanovense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 21.1% | 8.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.1% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 13.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1