Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.47)
0.96 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.8% | 29.7% | 30.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Jerez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Badajoz | 0 | 12.1% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Badajoz | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 33% | 53% |
| Defense | 80% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Badajoz | Jerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 14 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 60% | 50% | 54% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
| Draws | 20% | 21% | 21% | 62% | 58% | 60% |
| Loses | 20% | 29% | 25% | 8% | 17% | 12% |
Form: Badajoz: LLWWLWWDDLWWWDWWWDDWWLLW • Jerez: DLDDLDWDDDWDDDWDDWDWWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Badajoz | Jerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 23 | 18 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Badajoz | Jerez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 58% | 76% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 13% | 48% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 4% | 20% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Badajoz | Jerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Badajoz | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Badajoz | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Badajoz | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Jerez
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Badajoz = 1.15 (league 1.47), Jerez = 0.96 (league 1.09)
| Jerez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Badajoz | 0 | 12.1% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 30.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1