Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 10:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.47)
1.18 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.9% | 23.2% | 24.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Jaraíz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moralo | Jaraíz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 86% | 86% |
| Defense | 86% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moralo | Jaraíz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 69% | 43% | 56% | 57% | 38% | 48% |
| Draws | 15% | 43% | 30% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
| Loses | 15% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 23% | 19% |
Form: Moralo: DDDWLWDLWWLDDWWWDWWLDWWWWWW • Jaraíz: WWLDWWWDWWWLWLDDDDDWLDDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Moralo | Jaraíz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 18 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 46 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moralo | Jaraíz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 63% | 85% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 19% | 52% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 11% | 26% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moralo | Jaraíz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moralo | Jaraíz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moralo | Jaraíz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moralo | Jaraíz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Moralo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moralo = 1.79 (league 1.47), Jaraíz = 1.18 (league 1.09)
| Jaraíz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 24.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1