Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 10:00 •
Estadio Manuel Sánchez Delgado
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.46)
1.07 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.1% | 25.3% | 26.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Gévora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Diocesano | Gévora |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 33% | 56% |
| Defense | 33% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Diocesano | Gévora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 0% | 17% | 27% | 14% | 21% |
| Draws | 36% | 33% | 34% | 40% | 14% | 28% |
| Loses | 29% | 67% | 48% | 33% | 71% | 52% |
Form: Diocesano: DDDWLWLDDLLDDWLLLLLWLLDLDLWLD • Gévora: LWLWLDWDDDLLDLLDLLLDWDLWLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Diocesano | Gévora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 9 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 18 | 30 | 48 | 20 | 26 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Diocesano | Gévora | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 72% | 62% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 41% | 24% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 31% | 7% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Diocesano | Gévora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Diocesano | Gévora |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Diocesano | Gévora |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Diocesano | Gévora |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Diocesano or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Diocesano = 1.56 (league 1.46), Gévora = 1.07 (league 1.09)
| Gévora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 26.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1