Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Merkatondoa
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.57)
1.35 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.7% | 26.2% | 38.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Peña Sport | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Izarra | 0 | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Izarra | Peña Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 100% |
| Attack | 58% | 53% |
| Defense | 68% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.8 | 10 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Izarra | Peña Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Izarra: WLWD • Peña Sport: WWWW
League goals
| Metric | Izarra | Peña Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Izarra | Peña Sport | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Izarra | Peña Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Izarra | Peña Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Izarra | Peña Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | — | 5-3 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Izarra | Peña Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Izarra or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Izarra = 1.27 (league 1.57), Peña Sport = 1.35 (league 1.11)
| Peña Sport | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Izarra | 0 | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 38.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1