Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio Sotoburu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.54) 0.51 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.5% 40.8% 22.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.1%
1 - 0
21.2%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Peña Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Subiza 0 29.1% 14.7% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.2% 10.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSubizaPeña Sport
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack79%57%
Defense71%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Subiza Peña Sport
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%38%47%100%71%87%
Draws29%38%33%0%14%7%
Loses14%25%20%0%14%7%

Form: Subiza: WLLDDDWWDDLWWWW • Peña Sport: WWWWWWLWWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Subiza Peña Sport
HATHAT
GF total111021201030
GF avg1.61.31.42.51.42.0
GA total39129514
GA avg0.41.10.81.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSubizaPeña Sport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%47%93%73%
1.547%20%80%13%
2.520%7%13%7%
3.57%7%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSubizaPeña Sport
HATHAT
Clean sheets538134
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricSubizaPeña Sport
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSubizaPeña Sport
Wins26
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-35-30-2
Biggest losses1-24-02-1
Goals For4352
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricSubizaPeña Sport
Form48%52%
Att58%42%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals65%35%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Subiza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Subiza = 0.73 (league 1.54), Peña Sport = 0.51 (league 1.10)

Peña Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Subiza 0 29.1% 14.7% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.2% 10.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 40.8% · Away win 22.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1