Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:30 • Estadio Sotoburu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.53) 0.78 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.5% 13.5% 7.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
3 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Txantrea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Subiza 0 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.1% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.0% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSubizaTxantrea
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack50%42%
Defense58%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Subiza Txantrea
HATHAT
Played131225121224
Wins62%33%48%50%25%38%
Draws15%33%24%33%17%25%
Loses23%33%28%17%58%38%

Form: Subiza: WLLDDDWWDDLWWWWWWLLWWWDLL • Txantrea: WWLLWDWLDWDLWWLWLLDLDDWL

League goals

Metric Subiza Txantrea
HATHAT
GF total201333211738
GF avg1.51.11.31.81.41.6
GA total81422173350
GA avg0.61.20.91.42.82.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSubizaTxantrea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%56%79%96%
1.540%24%50%71%
2.520%4%21%25%
3.54%4%8%13%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSubizaTxantrea
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411101
Failed to score448145

Penalties

MetricSubizaTxantrea
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSubizaTxantrea
Wins62
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-23-4
Biggest losses1-24-00-35-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricSubizaTxantrea
Form58%42%
Att55%45%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Subiza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Subiza = 2.75 (league 1.53), Txantrea = 0.78 (league 1.08)

Txantrea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Subiza 0 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.1% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.0% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.5% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 7.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1