Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal de Varea
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.52) 0.05 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 27.2% 1.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
33.6%
0 - 0
25.5%
2 - 0
22.1%
Score & goals probability table
Autol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varea 0 25.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVareaAutol
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack17%17%
Defense100%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 04 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

32%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varea Autol
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%100%50%100%0%50%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Varea: DW • Autol: LW

League goals

Metric Varea Autol
HATHAT
GF total011101
GF avg0.01.00.51.00.00.5
GA total000044
GA avg0.00.00.00.04.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVareaAutol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%0%50%50%
1.50%0%0%50%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVareaAutol
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricVareaAutol
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVareaAutol
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-11-0—
Biggest losses———4-0
Goals For0110
Goals Against0004

Model comparison

MetricVareaAutol
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Varea or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ Betano
Draw6.05 @ Marathonbet
Away15.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Varea = 1.31 (league 1.52), Autol = 0.05 (league 1.24)

Autol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varea 0 25.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 1.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1