Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio El Rollo
Expected Goals
2.69 (league 1.49)
3.21 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.4% | 16.2% | 39.8% |
best score tips
2 - 3
5.5%
2 - 2
5.1%
3 - 3
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Berceo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Calzada | 0 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Calzada | Berceo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 50% | 17% |
| Attack | 25% | 17% |
| Defense | 67% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Calzada | Berceo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: La Calzada: WL • Berceo: DL
League goals
| Metric | La Calzada | Berceo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Calzada | Berceo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Calzada | Berceo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Calzada | Berceo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Calzada | Berceo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Calzada | Berceo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 66.6% | 33.4% |
Advice: Double chance : La Calzada or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): La Calzada = 2.69 (league 1.49), Berceo = 3.21 (league 1.25)
| Berceo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Calzada | 0 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 39.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1