Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:00 •
Estadio La Estrella
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.55)
1.61 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.1% | 24.9% | 53.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Varea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peña Balsamaiso | 0 | 8.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Peña Balsamaiso | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 78% |
| Attack | 13% | 27% |
| Defense | 53% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Peña Balsamaiso | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Peña Balsamaiso: DLL • Varea: DWW
League goals
| Metric | Peña Balsamaiso | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Peña Balsamaiso | Varea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Peña Balsamaiso | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Peña Balsamaiso | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Peña Balsamaiso | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Peña Balsamaiso | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 32.4% | 67.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Varea
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Peña Balsamaiso = 0.91 (league 1.55), Varea = 1.61 (league 1.24)
| Varea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peña Balsamaiso | 0 | 8.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 53.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1