Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio El Rollo
Expected Goals
4.04 (league 1.55)
0.80 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
best score tips
4 - 0
8.7%
3 - 0
8.7%
5 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Peña Balsamaiso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Calzada | 0 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Calzada | Peña Balsamaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 8% |
| Attack | 36% | 18% |
| Defense | 59% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Calzada | Peña Balsamaiso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: La Calzada: WLWL • Peña Balsamaiso: DLLL
League goals
| Metric | La Calzada | Peña Balsamaiso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Calzada | Peña Balsamaiso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Calzada | Peña Balsamaiso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Calzada | Peña Balsamaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Calzada | Peña Balsamaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Calzada | Peña Balsamaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 60.4% | 39.6% |
Advice: Winner : La Calzada
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): La Calzada = 4.04 (league 1.55), Peña Balsamaiso = 0.80 (league 1.24)
| Peña Balsamaiso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Calzada | 0 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.3% · Draw 6.3% · Away win 3.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1