Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:30 •
Estadio El Salvador
Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.55)
1.61 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | 18.2% | 22.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Varea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yagüe | 0 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Yagüe | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 75% | 83% |
| Attack | 57% | 33% |
| Defense | 81% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 3 | 7 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Yagüe | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Yagüe: WLWW • Varea: DWWW
League goals
| Metric | Yagüe | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Yagüe | Varea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Yagüe | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Yagüe | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Yagüe | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Yagüe | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 46.6% | 53.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Yagüe or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Yagüe = 2.59 (league 1.55), Varea = 1.61 (league 1.24)
| Varea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yagüe | 0 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 22.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1