Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 10:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Varea
Expected Goals
3.39 (league 1.55)
1.21 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 1
7.0%
4 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| La Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varea | 0 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Varea | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 91% | 91% |
| Defense | 55% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Varea | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 100% | 80% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 40% |
Form: Varea: DWWWW • La Calzada: WLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Varea | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Varea | La Calzada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | 80% | 80% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 0% | 20% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Varea | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Varea | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Varea | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Varea | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 69.8% | 30.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Varea or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Varea = 3.39 (league 1.55), La Calzada = 1.21 (league 1.24)
| La Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Varea | 0 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.8% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 9.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1