Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 16:30 •
Estadio El Salvador
Expected Goals
4.46 (league 1.55)
0.80 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
best score tips
4 - 0
8.5%
3 - 0
7.6%
5 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| La Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yagüe | 0 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.5% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Yagüe | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 74% | 42% |
| Defense | 53% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Yagüe | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
Form: Yagüe: WLWWLW • La Calzada: WLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Yagüe | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Yagüe | La Calzada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 83% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 17% | 17% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Yagüe | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Yagüe | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Yagüe | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-5 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Yagüe | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Yagüe and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Yagüe = 4.46 (league 1.55), La Calzada = 0.80 (league 1.24)
| La Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Yagüe | 0 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.5% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.7% · Draw 4.9% · Away win 2.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1