Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo de Fútbol Ángel de Vicente
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.55)
3.70 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4% | 8.0% | 70.5% |
best score tips
0 - 3
9.0%
0 - 4
8.3%
1 - 3
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Varea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Marcial | 0 | 1.1% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | San Marcial | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 42% | 53% |
| Defense | 58% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | San Marcial | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: San Marcial: LLLWWD • Varea: DWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | San Marcial | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | San Marcial | Varea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 83% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | San Marcial | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | San Marcial | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | San Marcial | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | San Marcial | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Varea
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): San Marcial = 0.84 (league 1.55), Varea = 3.70 (league 1.24)
| Varea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Marcial | 0 | 1.1% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.4% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 70.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1