Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Varea
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.49) 1.12 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.9% 31.8% 46.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.7%
0 - 0
16.8%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Arnedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varea 0 16.8% 18.7% 10.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.2% 12.5% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVareaArnedo
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack79%71%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varea Arnedo
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%100%71%50%67%57%
Draws67%0%29%25%0%14%
Loses0%0%0%25%33%29%

Form: Varea: DWWWWDW • Arnedo: DWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Varea Arnedo
HATHAT
GF total39127613
GF avg1.02.31.71.82.01.9
GA total235134
GA avg0.70.80.70.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVareaArnedo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%57%43%
1.557%29%57%14%
2.543%0%43%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVareaArnedo
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricVareaArnedo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVareaArnedo
Wins42
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-35-00-3
Biggest losses——0-12-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricVareaArnedo
Form59%41%
Att52%48%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h93%7%
Goals67%33%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Varea or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.15 @ Betano
Away3.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Superbet
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Varea = 0.67 (league 1.49), Arnedo = 1.12 (league 1.25)

Arnedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varea 0 16.8% 18.7% 10.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.2% 12.5% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 46.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1