Villegas vs Peña Balsamaiso

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 — Spain

Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio La Ribera

Match Finished

Villegas

3 - 2

Peña Balsamaiso

Expected Goals

1.05 (league 1.49) 0.38 (league 1.25)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
52.0%	34.5%	13.4%

best score tips

1 - 0

25.0%

0 - 0

23.8%

2 - 0

13.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Peña Balsamaiso
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Villegas	0	23.8%	9.2%	1.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	25.0%	9.6%	1.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	13.1%	5.0%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	4.6%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Villegas	Peña Balsamaiso
Played	5	5
Form	27%	13%
Attack	75%	0%
Defense	0%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	0 \| 0
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	13 \| 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%

FT probability

2.5+

53%

FT probability

3.5+

38%

FT probability

BTTS

57%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Villegas			Peña Balsamaiso
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	5	10	5	5	10
Wins	40%	20%	30%	0%	0%	0%
Draws	20%	20%	20%	60%	20%	40%
Loses	40%	60%	50%	40%	80%	60%

Form: Villegas: LWDWLLLLWD • Peña Balsamaiso: DLLLDDLDLL

League goals

Metric	Villegas			Peña Balsamaiso
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	3	4	7	4	2	6
GF avg	0.6	0.8	0.7	0.8	0.4	0.6
GA total	6	14	20	12	13	25
GA avg	1.2	2.8	2.0	2.4	2.6	2.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Villegas		Peña Balsamaiso
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	50%	80%	30%	80%
1.5	20%	50%	30%	60%
2.5	0%	30%	0%	40%
3.5	0%	10%	0%	30%
4.5	0%	10%	0%	20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Villegas			Peña Balsamaiso
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	0	2	2	0	2
Failed to score	3	2	5	3	4	7

Penalties

Metric	Villegas	Peña Balsamaiso
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Villegas	Peña Balsamaiso
Wins	1	0
Draws	1	2
Losses	4	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	1-2	—	—
Biggest losses	0-3	7-0	0-7	5-0
Goals For	2	2	2	2
Goals Against	3	7	7	5

Model comparison

Metric	Villegas	Peña Balsamaiso
Form	67%	33%
Att	100%	0%
Def	59%	41%
Poisson Distribution	75%	25%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	67.0%	33.0%

Advice: Double chance : Villegas or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Betano

Draw3.48 @ Marathonbet

Away3.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.59 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.52.25 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Marathonbet

No2.40 @ Superbet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-11-15T16:00:21+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.95
Draw	3.48
Away	3.20

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.26
Draw	2.63
Away	3.32

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.05
Away -1.25	1.28
Home -1	2.70
Away -1	1.36
Home -0.75	2.19
Away -0.75	1.54
Home -0.25	1.70
Away -0.25	1.94
Home +0	1.49
Away +0	2.39
Home +0.25	1.36
Away +0.25	2.70
Home +0.75	1.18
Away +0.75	3.84
Home -2	5.85
Away -2	1.07
Home +1	1.08
Away +1	5.50
Home -1.5	3.34
Away -1.5	1.24
Home +1.5	1.06
Away +1.5	6.25
Home -2.5	6.55
Away -2.5	1.05

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.15
Under 1.5	4.20
Over 1.75	1.19
Under 1.75	3.80
Over 2.0	1.24
Under 2.0	3.34
Over 2.25	1.40
Under 2.25	2.56
Over 2.5	1.59
Under 2.5	2.19
Over 2.75	1.71
Under 2.75	1.92
Over 3.5	2.41
Under 3.5	1.45
Over 3.0	1.92
Under 3.0	1.71
Over 4.5	4.20
Under 4.5	1.16
Over 3.25	2.15
Under 3.25	1.56
Over 3.75	2.81
Under 3.75	1.33
Over 4.0	3.50
Under 4.0	1.22

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.31
Under 1.5	1.50
Over 0.5	1.28
Under 0.5	3.14
Over 1.0	1.59
Under 1.0	2.18

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.80
Under 1.5	1.88
Over 2.0	2.60
Under 2.0	1.40
Over 1.0	1.26
Under 1.0	3.28

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.51
No	2.29

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	3.34
Away -1	1.67
Draw -1	3.75
Home +1	1.26
Draw +1	4.90
Away +1	6.25

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.26
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	1.67

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.47
Draw	2.22
Away	3.72

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.67
Draw	14.75
Away	2.20

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.67
Draw	14.75
Away	2.19

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.78
Under 1.5	1.91
Over 1	1.25
Under 1	3.42
Over 2	2.57
Under 2	1.42

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.38
Under 1.5	1.49
Over 1	1.60
Under 1	2.17
Over 2	4.33
Under 2	1.14

1xBet Updated: 2025-11-15T16:00:21+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.97
Draw	3.48
Away	3.26

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.28
Draw	2.63
Away	3.43

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.05
Away -1.25	1.28
Home -1	2.70
Away -1	1.36
Home -0.75	2.19
Away -0.75	1.54
Home -0.25	1.70
Away -0.25	1.94
Home +0	1.49
Away +0	2.39
Home +0.25	1.36
Away +0.25	2.70
Home +0.75	1.18
Away +0.75	3.84
Home -2	5.85
Away -2	1.07
Home +1	1.08
Away +1	5.50
Home -1.5	3.34
Away -1.5	1.24
Home +1.5	1.06
Away +1.5	6.25
Home -2.5	6.55
Away -2.5	1.05

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.15
Under 1.5	4.20
Over 1.75	1.19
Under 1.75	3.80
Over 2.0	1.24
Under 2.0	3.34
Over 2.25	1.40
Under 2.25	2.56
Over 2.5	1.59
Under 2.5	2.19
Over 2.75	1.71
Under 2.75	1.92
Over 3.5	2.41
Under 3.5	1.45
Over 3.0	1.92
Under 3.0	1.71
Over 4.5	4.20
Under 4.5	1.16
Over 3.25	2.15
Under 3.25	1.56
Over 3.75	2.81
Under 3.75	1.33
Over 4.0	3.50
Under 4.0	1.22

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.31
Under 1.5	1.50
Over 2.5	5.00
Under 2.5	1.13
Over 0.5	1.28
Under 0.5	3.14
Over 0.75	1.39
Under 0.75	2.67
Over 1.0	1.59
Under 1.0	2.18
Over 1.25	1.95
Under 1.25	1.72

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.80
Under 1.5	1.88
Over 1.75	2.05
Under 1.75	1.65
Over 2.0	2.60
Under 2.0	1.40
Over 2.5	3.40
Under 2.5	1.28
Over 0.5	1.14
Under 0.5	4.90
Over 1.0	1.26
Under 1.0	3.28
Over 1.25	1.53
Under 1.25	2.28

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	15.50
Home/Away	26.00
Draw/Away	8.10
Draw/Draw	5.90
Home/Home	3.10
Draw/Home	5.50
Away/Home	18.00
Away/Draw	15.50
Away/Away	5.30

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.51
No	2.34

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	9.50
2:0	10.50
2:1	8.20
3:0	17.00
3:1	13.50
3:2	19.00
4:0	46.00
4:1	38.00
0:0	13.00
1:1	6.80
2:2	10.00
0:1	12.50
0:2	18.00
0:3	33.00
1:2	10.50
1:3	22.00
2:3	24.00
3:3	60.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	90.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	60.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.72
1st Half	2.98
2nd Half	1.94

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.26
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	1.67

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.49
Draw	2.22
Away	3.87

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.78
Under 1.5	1.91
Over 2.5	3.40
Under 2.5	1.27
Over 3.5	7.60
Under 3.5	1.05
Over 1	1.25
Under 1	3.42
Over 2	2.57
Under 2	1.42
Over 0.5	1.13
Under 0.5	4.65

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.38
Under 1.5	1.49
Over 2.5	5.50
Under 2.5	1.11
Over 1	1.60
Under 1	2.17
Over 2	4.33
Under 2	1.14
Over 0.5	1.27
Under 0.5	3.20

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.30
Away -1	1.09
Home -0.25	2.01
Away -0.25	1.66
Home +0	1.54
Away +0	2.22
Home +0.25	1.33
Away +0.25	2.88

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.17
Home/Away	1.49
Draw/Away	1.40

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.22
Home/Away	1.35
Draw/Away	1.47

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.50
No	1.24

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.63
No	1.41

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.84
Even	1.80

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.97
Even	1.69

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.86
Even	1.78

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.93
Even	1.72

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.05
Away -1	1.16
Home -0.25	1.89
Away -0.25	1.76
Home +0	1.53
Away +0	2.24
Home +0.25	1.36
Away +0.25	2.75

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.72
Under 0.5	1.93

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.06
Under 0.5	1.63

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.48
Under 0.5	2.36

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.75
Under 0.5	1.90

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.87
Even	1.77

Betano Updated: 2025-11-15T16:00:21+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.98
Draw	3.45
Away	3.40

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.45
Away	2.40

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.25
Draw	2.67
Away	3.35

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.5	1.93
Away -0.5	1.78

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.55
Under 2.5	2.15
Over 3.5	2.25
Under 3.5	1.50
Over 3.0	1.90
Under 3.0	1.82
Over 4.5	3.60
Under 4.5	1.20

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.25
Under 1.5	1.50
Over 1.25	1.95
Under 1.25	1.72

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.72
Under 1.5	1.95

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	12.00
Home/Away	29.00
Draw/Away	7.60
Draw/Draw	5.50
Home/Home	3.10
Draw/Home	4.90
Away/Home	21.00
Away/Draw	13.50
Away/Away	5.80

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.47
No	2.32

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	9.75
2:0	11.25
2:1	7.90
3:0	18.50
3:1	13.00
3:2	17.00
4:0	40.00
4:1	27.00
0:0	14.00
1:1	6.80
2:2	10.50
0:1	13.00
0:2	20.00
0:3	45.00
1:2	10.75
1:3	25.00
2:3	25.00
3:3	35.00
0:4	120.00
1:4	70.00
2:4	75.00
4:2	37.00
0:5	450.00
1:5	250.00
2:5	250.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	70.00
5:2	90.00
6:0	300.00
6:1	200.00
6:2	300.00
4:3	70.00
3:5	400.00
4:5	700.00
5:3	175.00
5:4	450.00
6:3	500.00
4:4	175.00
7:1	700.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.60
1st Half	3.10
2nd Half	1.88

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.15
2:0	9.75
2:1	15.00
3:0	32.00
3:1	50.00
3:2	150.00
4:0	150.00
4:1	200.00
0:0	3.10
1:1	6.30
2:2	45.00
0:1	5.60
0:2	18.00
0:3	90.00
1:2	21.00
1:3	100.00
2:3	200.00
0:4	500.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.27
Home/Away	1.27
Draw/Away	1.80

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.50
Draw	2.20
Away	3.80

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.72
Under 1.5	2.00

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.35
Under 1.5	1.53

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.00
Away -0.25	1.70

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.23
Home/Away	1.55
Draw/Away	1.50

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.88
Even	1.82

Bet ID 40 — Home Team Exact Goals Number

Selection	Odds
0	5.40
1	3.05
2	3.30
3	5.40
more 4	7.90

Bet ID 41 — Away Team Exact Goals Number

Selection	Odds
0	3.50
1	2.52
2	3.65
3	8.25
more 4	19.50

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.72
Under 0.5	2.00

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.12
Under 0.5	1.65

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.50
Away	2.25

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.52
Away	2.22

Bet ID 184 — To Score in Both Halves

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.53
No	2.20

Superbet Updated: 2025-11-15T16:00:21+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.95
Draw	3.45
Away	3.35

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.44
Away	2.42

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.14
Under 1.5	4.30
Over 2.5	1.55
Under 2.5	2.25
Over 3.5	2.32
Under 3.5	1.51

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	10.00
Home/Away	21.00
Draw/Away	7.00
Draw/Draw	5.50
Home/Home	3.05
Draw/Home	5.00
Away/Home	15.00
Away/Draw	10.00
Away/Away	5.00

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.50
No	2.40

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	8.20
2:0	8.90
2:1	7.20
3:0	13.00
3:1	11.00
3:2	14.00
4:0	23.00
4:1	19.00
0:0	12.00
1:1	6.20
2:2	8.80
0:1	11.00
0:2	15.00
0:3	25.00
1:2	9.40
1:3	17.00
2:3	18.00
3:3	22.00
0:4	50.00
1:4	36.00
2:4	39.00
4:2	24.00
3:4	55.00
4:3	45.00
4:4	70.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.25
Home/Away	1.23
Draw/Away	1.69

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.92
Even	1.78

Bet ID 25 — Result/Total Goals

Selection	Odds
Draw/Over 1.5	4.00
Away/Over 1.5	4.00
Home/Over 1.5	2.27
Home/Under 1.5	8.50
Draw/Under 1.5	12.00
Away/Under 1.5	12.00
Home/Over 2.5	2.70
Draw/Over 2.5	7.50
Away/Over 2.5	4.60
Home/Under 2.5	5.40
Draw/Under 2.5	4.90
Away/Under 2.5	7.70
Draw/Over 3.5	7.50
Home/Over 3.5	4.25
Away/Over 3.5	7.40
Home/Under 3.5	3.10
Draw/Under 3.5	4.90
Away/Under 3.5	4.75

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Villegas vs Peña Balsamaiso

Expected goals (λ): Villegas = 1.05 (league 1.49), Peña Balsamaiso = 0.38 (league 1.25)

		Peña Balsamaiso
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Villegas	0	23.8%	9.2%	1.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	25.0%	9.6%	1.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	13.1%	5.0%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	4.6%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 13.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Villegas	Peña Balsamaiso
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0