Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:30 •
Estadio La Ribera
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.47)
1.04 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.3% | 29.2% | 32.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| La Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villegas | 0 | 11.2% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villegas | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 43% |
| Defense | 50% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villegas | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 17% | 33% | 67% | 17% | 42% |
| Draws | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 17% | 67% | 42% |
Form: Villegas: LWDWLLLLWDWL • La Calzada: WLWLDDLLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Villegas | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villegas | La Calzada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 83% | 75% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 58% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 25% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villegas | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villegas | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villegas | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 7-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villegas | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 35.5% | 64.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or La Calzada
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villegas = 1.15 (league 1.47), La Calzada = 1.04 (league 1.26)
| La Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villegas | 0 | 11.2% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 32.4%
vtt 2 , vtd1