Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio El Salvador
Expected Goals
2.91 (league 1.49)
1.06 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6% | 14.1% | 10.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.5%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Peña Balsamaiso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Berceo | 0 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Berceo | Peña Balsamaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 7% |
| Attack | 56% | 17% |
| Defense | 56% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Berceo | Peña Balsamaiso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 25% | 22% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 25% | 22% | 24% | 38% | 22% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 56% | 53% | 63% | 78% | 71% |
Form: Berceo: DLLLWLWWLLLDLDLDW • Peña Balsamaiso: DLLLDDLDLLLLLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Berceo | Peña Balsamaiso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Berceo | Peña Balsamaiso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 76% | 47% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 53% | 24% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 29% | 0% | 47% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 18% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Berceo | Peña Balsamaiso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Berceo | Peña Balsamaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Berceo | Peña Balsamaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 3-0 | 0-7 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Berceo | Peña Balsamaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.0% |
Advice: Winner : Berceo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Berceo = 2.91 (league 1.49), Peña Balsamaiso = 1.06 (league 1.25)
| Peña Balsamaiso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Berceo | 0 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.6% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 10.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1