Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Varea
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.49) 0.53 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.5% 22.7% 10.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
15.6%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Berceo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varea 0 10.7% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 9.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVareaBerceo
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack70%100%
Defense70%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varea Berceo
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins63%80%72%33%22%28%
Draws25%10%17%22%22%22%
Loses13%10%11%44%56%50%

Form: Varea: DWWWWDWLWWDWWWWWWL • Berceo: DLLLWLWWLLLDLDLDWW

League goals

Metric Varea Berceo
HATHAT
GF total121931131023
GF avg1.51.91.71.41.11.3
GA total5813151530
GA avg0.60.80.71.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVareaBerceo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%72%72%
1.550%22%39%50%
2.528%0%6%28%
3.56%0%6%6%
4.56%0%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVareaBerceo
HATHAT
Clean sheets549325
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricVareaBerceo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVareaBerceo
Wins62
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-55-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-01-63-0
Goals For3552
Goals Against2263

Model comparison

MetricVareaBerceo
Form60%40%
Att39%61%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h85%15%
Goals62%38%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Varea or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.32 @ Betano
Draw5.25 @ Bet365
Away12.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Marathonbet
No1.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Varea = 1.71 (league 1.49), Berceo = 0.53 (league 1.25)

Berceo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varea 0 10.7% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 9.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.5% Ā· Draw 22.7% Ā· Away win 10.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1