Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio El Salvador
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.53)
1.50 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.7% | 23.1% | 32.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| La Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Berceo | 0 | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Berceo | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 69% | 46% |
| Defense | 54% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Berceo | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 20% | 26% | 44% | 20% | 32% |
| Draws | 22% | 20% | 21% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
| Loses | 44% | 60% | 53% | 44% | 70% | 58% |
Form: Berceo: DLLLWLWWLLLDLDLDWWL • La Calzada: WLWLDDLLLWWWLLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Berceo | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 16 | 31 | 15 | 19 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Berceo | La Calzada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 74% | 68% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 47% | 42% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 26% | 16% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Berceo | La Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Berceo | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Berceo | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Berceo | La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Berceo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Berceo = 1.74 (league 1.53), La Calzada = 1.50 (league 1.25)
| La Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Berceo | 0 | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 32.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1