Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Isla Anguiano
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.55)
0.65 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1% | 17.8% | 9.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.0%
1 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Villegas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Anguiano | 0 | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Anguiano | Villegas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 7% |
| Attack | 64% | 36% |
| Defense | 64% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Anguiano | Villegas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 55% | 50% | 52% | 36% | 20% | 29% |
| Draws | 18% | 50% | 33% | 18% | 10% | 14% |
| Loses | 27% | 0% | 14% | 45% | 70% | 57% |
AnguianoDWDDWWDWDWLDWWLWLWWWD
VillegasLWDWLLLLWDWLWWLLDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Anguiano | Villegas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 43 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Anguiano | Villegas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 57% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 14% | 29% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 0% | 10% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Anguiano | Villegas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Anguiano | Villegas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Anguiano | Villegas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 1-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Anguiano | Villegas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 76.8% | 23.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.20 @ William Hill
Draw6.17 @ Pinnacle
Away13.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.01 @ Marathonbet
No1.83 @ William Hill
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League standings
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