Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio El Rollo
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.50)
1.78 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.3% | 22.6% | 41.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Yagüe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Calzada | 0 | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Calzada | Yagüe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 20% | 47% |
| Defense | 73% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Calzada | Yagüe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 45% | 17% | 30% | 33% | 36% | 35% |
| Draws | 9% | 25% | 17% | 33% | 36% | 35% |
| Loses | 45% | 58% | 52% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
Form: La Calzada: WLWLDDLLLWWWLLWLLLLDWDL • Yagüe: WLWWLWWLDDDWDDLDLWWDLDL
League goals
| Metric | La Calzada | Yagüe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 20 | 37 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Calzada | Yagüe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 74% | 78% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 57% | 43% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 22% | 17% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 9% | 13% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Calzada | Yagüe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Calzada | Yagüe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Calzada | Yagüe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Calzada | Yagüe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
Advice: Double chance : La Calzada or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): La Calzada = 1.60 (league 1.50), Yagüe = 1.78 (league 1.26)
| Yagüe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Calzada | 0 | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 41.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1