Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Varea
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.51) 0.48 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.6% 22.7% 9.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
San Marcial
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varea 0 11.4% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 9.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.2% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVareaSan Marcial
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack50%39%
Defense89%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Varea San Marcial
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins64%83%74%27%33%30%
Draws27%8%17%18%25%22%
Loses9%8%9%55%42%48%

Form: Varea: DWWWWDWLWWDWWWWWWLWWWDW • San Marcial: LLLWWDLWDDLLLLLWWDLLDWW

League goals

Metric Varea San Marcial
HATHAT
GF total172340111425
GF avg1.51.91.71.01.21.1
GA total6915162036
GA avg0.50.80.71.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVareaSan Marcial
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%48%65%70%
1.552%17%26%48%
2.526%0%13%17%
3.54%0%4%9%
4.54%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVareaSan Marcial
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512257
Failed to score213448

Penalties

MetricVareaSan Marcial
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricVareaSan Marcial
Wins62
Draws12
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-20-4
Biggest losses1-22-00-26-1
Goals For3534
Goals Against2236

Model comparison

MetricVareaSan Marcial
Form65%35%
Att56%44%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total69.5%30.5%

Advice: Double chance : Varea or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Bet365
Draw5.35 @ Marathonbet
Away13.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Varea = 1.69 (league 1.51), San Marcial = 0.48 (league 1.26)

San Marcial
0 1 2 3 4 5
Varea 0 11.4% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 9.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 7.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.2% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.6% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 9.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1