Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 — Spain
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio La Planilla
Match Finished

Calahorra

2 - 0

Berceo

Expected Goals
2.73 (league 1.54) 0.40 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.0% 10.6% 3.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.3%
3 - 0
14.8%
1 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Berceo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Calahorra 0 4.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.8% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCalahorraBerceo
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack56%67%
Defense33%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Calahorra Berceo
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%33%42%33%17%25%
Draws50%25%38%33%33%33%
Loses0%42%21%33%50%42%

Form: Calahorra: WDWDWLDLWWDLWDDWWWDLDWDL • Berceo: DLLLWLWWLLLDLDLDWWLDDDDW

League goals

Metric Calahorra Berceo
HATHAT
GF total332457171229
GF avg2.82.02.41.41.01.2
GA total61319181836
GA avg0.51.10.81.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCalahorraBerceo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%54%75%75%
1.550%13%33%42%
2.533%8%4%21%
3.529%4%4%4%
4.521%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCalahorraBerceo
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511426
Failed to score145246

Penalties

MetricCalahorraBerceo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCalahorraBerceo
Wins32
Draws24
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-75-00-2
Biggest losses—4-21-63-0
Goals For7752
Goals Against1463

Model comparison

MetricCalahorraBerceo
Form42%58%
Att45%55%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Berceo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ William Hill
Draw6.02 @ Pinnacle
Away15.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Calahorra vs Berceo

Expected goals (λ): Calahorra = 2.73 (league 1.54), Berceo = 0.40 (league 1.25)

Berceo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Calahorra 0 4.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.8% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.1% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.0% · Draw 10.6% · Away win 3.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1