Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:30 • Estadio El Salvador
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.51) 1.19 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.5% 19.0% 18.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Villegas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Berceo 0 3.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.9% 8.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBerceoVillegas
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack26%26%
Defense68%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Berceo Villegas
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%15%24%31%17%24%
Draws33%31%32%15%17%16%
Loses33%54%44%54%67%60%

Form: Berceo: DLLLWLWWLLLDLDLDWWLDDDDWL • Villegas: LWDWLLLLWDWLWWLLDLLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Berceo Villegas
HATHAT
GF total171229131225
GF avg1.40.91.21.01.01.0
GA total182038243054
GA avg1.51.51.51.82.52.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBerceoVillegas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%76%60%88%
1.532%44%32%68%
2.54%20%8%32%
3.54%4%0%12%
4.54%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBerceoVillegas
HATHAT
Clean sheets426303
Failed to score2576410

Penalties

MetricBerceoVillegas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBerceoVillegas
Wins22
Draws41
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-22-02-3
Biggest losses1-63-02-57-0
Goals For5233
Goals Against6357

Model comparison

MetricBerceoVillegas
Form86%14%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h71%29%
Goals92%8%
Total72.2%27.8%

Advice: Double chance : Berceo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): Berceo = 2.32 (league 1.51), Villegas = 1.19 (league 1.26)

Villegas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Berceo 0 3.0% 3.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.9% 8.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% Ā· Draw 19.0% Ā· Away win 18.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1