Wed, Apr 1 2026 ā¢ 18:00 ā¢
Estadio La Ribera
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.54)
2.31 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.9% | 17.2% | 68.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.1%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Varea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villegas | 0 | 4.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villegas | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 42% |
| Defense | 33% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villegas | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 36% | 14% | 25% | 64% | 71% | 68% |
| Draws | 14% | 21% | 18% | 29% | 7% | 18% |
| Loses | 50% | 64% | 57% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
Form: Villegas: LWDWLLLLWDWLWWLLDLLLLLLDLLWD ā¢ Varea: DWWWWDWLWWDWWWWWWLWWWDWWLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Villegas | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 21 | 24 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 24 | 32 | 56 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villegas | Varea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 86% | 86% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 61% | 46% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 29% | 21% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 11% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villegas | Varea | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villegas | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villegas | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 7-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villegas | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 4% | 96% |
| Total | 31.2% | 68.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Varea
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Villegas = 0.78 (league 1.54), Varea = 2.31 (league 1.25)
| Varea | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villegas | 0 | 4.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% Ā· Draw 17.2% Ā· Away win 68.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1