Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 16:30 •
Estadio La Ribera
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.55)
1.51 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.7% | 24.9% | 40.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
8.8%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| San Marcial | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villegas | 0 | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villegas | San Marcial |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 35% | 30% |
| Defense | 70% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villegas | San Marcial | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 33% | 13% | 23% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
| Draws | 13% | 20% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 23% |
| Loses | 53% | 67% | 60% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
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San MarcialLLLWWDLWDDLLLLLWWDLLDWWLDWLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Villegas | San Marcial | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 15 | 32 | 16 | 17 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 25 | 35 | 60 | 24 | 28 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villegas | San Marcial | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 87% | 67% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 60% | 30% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 10% | 3% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villegas | San Marcial | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villegas | San Marcial |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villegas | San Marcial |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 7-0 | 0-4 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villegas | San Marcial |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 53.2% | 46.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ BetVictor
Away2.84 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ BetVictor
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League standings
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