Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio La Manzanera
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.55)
1.93 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 20.1% | 68.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 2
15.0%
0 - 3
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Oyonesa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Autol | 0 | 7.9% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Oyonesa carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 235 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Autol -23.5, Oyonesa +9.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Autol
vs
Oyonesa
Elo gapOyonesa +235
Home / draw / away17% / 18% / 65%
Expected home share21%
Combined Elo2875.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2875.8
Elo home share
21%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Autol | Oyonesa |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1302.9 | 1572.9 |
| Form Elo | 1274.1 | 1586.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1449.6 | 1548.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1279.1 | 1539.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1247.9 | 1573.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -23.5 | +9.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Autol last-5 Elo change: -23.5; Oyonesa last-5 Elo change: +9.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Autol | Oyonesa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 53% |
| Attack | 10% | 90% |
| Defense | 0% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Autol | Oyonesa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 10% | 56% | 47% | 52% |
| Draws | 27% | 6% | 16% | 13% | 27% | 19% |
| Loses | 53% | 94% | 74% | 31% | 27% | 29% |
AutolLWLWLLLLLDLWLDLDLLDLLLLLLLLLLDL
OyonesaLWLWWWWWDLWLLDWWLWWLLWDDWWWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Autol | Oyonesa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 23 | 49 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 24 | 47 | 71 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Autol | Oyonesa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 35% | 90% | 74% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 65% | 68% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 42% | 16% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 23% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Autol | Oyonesa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Autol | Oyonesa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Autol | Oyonesa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-0 | 2-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Autol | Oyonesa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11% | 89% |
| Att | 10% | 90% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 10% | 90% |
| Total | 17.6% | 82.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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