Comillas vs Yagüe

Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 — Spain

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 10:00 • Estadio El Salvador

Not Started

Comillas

—

Yagüe

Expected Goals

1.26 (league 1.55) 1.59 (league 1.24)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
29.9%	24.6%	44.7%

best score tips

1 - 1

11.6%

1 - 2

9.2%

0 - 1

9.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Yagüe
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Comillas	0	5.8%	9.2%	7.3%	3.9%	1.6%	0.5%
	1	7.3%	11.6%	9.2%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
	2	4.6%	7.3%	5.8%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
	3	1.9%	3.0%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%
	4	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Comillas +3.1, Yagüe -27.8.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Comillas Elo 1437.8 · +3.1

Yagüe Elo 1475.4 · -27.8

Elo gapYagüe +3

Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%

Expected home share50%

Combined Elo2913.2

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2913.2

Elo home share 50%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Comillas	Yagüe
Overall Elo	1437.8	1475.4
Form Elo	1435.7	1457.2
Home / Away Elo	1467.1	1504.8
Attack Elo	1445.4	1475.9
Defense Elo	1451.5	1428.6
Last 5 Elo change	+3.1	-27.8

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Comillas last-5 Elo change: +3.1; Yagüe last-5 Elo change: -27.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Comillas	Yagüe
Played	5	5
Form	40%	13%
Attack	60%	30%
Defense	40%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	3 \| 0.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%

FT probability

2.5+

56%

FT probability

3.5+

40%

FT probability

BTTS

64%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Comillas			Yagüe
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	15	16	31	16	15	31
Wins	40%	25%	32%	31%	27%	29%
Draws	7%	19%	13%	38%	33%	35%
Loses	53%	56%	55%	31%	40%	35%

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League goals

Metric	Comillas			Yagüe
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	20	10	30	26	17	43
GF avg	1.3	0.6	1.0	1.6	1.1	1.4
GA total	27	24	51	22	23	45
GA avg	1.8	1.5	1.6	1.4	1.5	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Comillas		Yagüe
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	58%	71%	68%	74%
1.5	19%	52%	39%	45%
2.5	13%	23%	16%	16%
3.5	6%	16%	13%	3%
4.5	0%	3%	3%	3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Comillas			Yagüe
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	5	9	3	5	8
Failed to score	6	7	13	3	7	10

Penalties

Metric	Comillas	Yagüe
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	2

Streaks

Metric	Comillas	Yagüe
Wins	2	2
Draws	2	3
Losses	3	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-1	4-0	2-5
Biggest losses	0-5	4-0	0-3	6-0
Goals For	4	2	4	5
Goals Against	5	4	3	6

Model comparison

Metric	Comillas	Yagüe
Form	75%	25%
Att	67%	33%
Def	63%	38%
Poisson Distribution	45%	55%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	63%	38%
Total	64.0%	36.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Comillas vs Yagüe

Metric	Comillas	Yagüe
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	2