Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Viana
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.55)
2.20 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.4% | 18.2% | 67.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.6%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Calahorra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vianés | 0 | 5.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Calahorra carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 72 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vianés -6.6, Calahorra +27.4.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Vianés
vs
Calahorra
Elo gapCalahorra +72
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo3065.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3065.6
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Vianés | Calahorra |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1479.3 | 1586.3 |
| Form Elo | 1470.8 | 1607.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1494.5 | 1513.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1446.2 | 1676.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1487.3 | 1635.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -6.6 | +27.4 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Vianés last-5 Elo change: -6.6; Calahorra last-5 Elo change: +27.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vianés | Calahorra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 70% | 100% |
| Defense | 10% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vianés | Calahorra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 40% | 25% | 32% | 56% | 40% | 48% |
| Draws | 20% | 31% | 26% | 44% | 27% | 35% |
| Loses | 40% | 44% | 42% | 0% | 33% | 16% |
VianésLLLLDWWDLLWDDLDWLWLWWLDWDLWDLWL
CalahorraWDWDWLDLWWDLWDDWWWDLDWDLWWWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Vianés | Calahorra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 17 | 36 | 41 | 31 | 72 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vianés | Calahorra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 61% | 84% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 42% | 55% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 26% | 32% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 13% | 26% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 16% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vianés | Calahorra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vianés | Calahorra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vianés | Calahorra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 7-0 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-0 | — | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vianés | Calahorra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 38.2% | 61.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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