Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Virgen de la Corona
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.13)
0.70 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 31.8% | 22.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 0
16.4%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Utrillas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almudévar | 0 | 16.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.2% | 12.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Almudévar | Utrillas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 13% | 38% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Almudévar | Utrillas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 60% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 80% | 0% | 100% | 40% |
Form: Almudévar: LLLWL • Utrillas: DLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Almudévar | Utrillas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Almudévar | Utrillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 20% | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 40% | 0% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Almudévar | Utrillas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Almudévar | Utrillas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Almudévar | Utrillas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Almudévar | Utrillas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.4% | 53.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Almudévar or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Almudévar = 1.11 (league 1.13), Utrillas = 0.70 (league 0.86)
| Utrillas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almudévar | 0 | 16.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.2% | 12.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 22.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1