Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio San Miguel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.18) 1.17 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 24.7% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Utrillas
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Casetas 0 6.2% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.0% 11.7% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUD CasetasUtrillas
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack50%33%
Defense25%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UD Casetas Utrillas
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%0%7%0%0%0%
Draws29%43%36%86%43%64%
Loses57%57%57%14%57%36%

Form: UD Casetas: LLDLLDDLLLDDWL • Utrillas: DLDLDDLDLDDDLD

League goals

Metric UD Casetas Utrillas
HATHAT
GF total73106511
GF avg1.00.40.70.90.70.8
GA total11102171320
GA avg1.61.41.51.01.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUD CasetasUtrillas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%86%57%79%
1.57%43%21%50%
2.57%21%0%14%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUD CasetasUtrillas
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score347246

Penalties

MetricUD CasetasUtrillas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUD CasetasUtrillas
Wins10
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-2———
Biggest losses0-33-01-23-0
Goals For4122
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricUD CasetasUtrillas
Form56%44%
Att60%40%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.8%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : UD Casetas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): UD Casetas = 1.61 (league 1.18), Utrillas = 1.17 (league 0.96)

Utrillas
0 1 2 3 4 5
UD Casetas 0 6.2% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.0% 11.7% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% Ā· Draw 24.7% Ā· Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1