Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Papa Luna
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.18)
0.94 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.3% | 29.4% | 29.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Almudévar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Illueca | 0 | 11.9% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Illueca | Almudévar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 56% | 78% |
| Defense | 0% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Illueca | Almudévar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 29% | 14% | 21% | 43% | 14% | 29% |
| Draws | 43% | 57% | 50% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 57% | 43% |
Form: Illueca: DDWDDWDWLLDLLD • Almudévar: LLLWLDLWDLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Illueca | Almudévar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 14 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Illueca | Almudévar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 71% | 57% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 21% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 21% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Illueca | Almudévar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Illueca | Almudévar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Illueca | Almudévar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Illueca | Almudévar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 32% | 68% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 34.8% | 65.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Almudévar
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Illueca = 1.18 (league 1.18), Almudévar = 0.94 (league 0.96)
| Almudévar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Illueca | 0 | 11.9% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.1% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 29.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1