Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.25)
0.99 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9% | 17.6% | 13.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Marchamalo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toledo | 0 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Toledo | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 44% |
| Attack | 33% | 83% |
| Defense | 67% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 5 | 1.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Toledo | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Toledo: DDD • Marchamalo: DLW
League goals
| Metric | Toledo | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Toledo | Marchamalo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Toledo | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Toledo | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Toledo | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Toledo | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 60.2% | 39.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Toledo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Toledo = 2.40 (league 1.25), Marchamalo = 0.99 (league 1.01)
| Marchamalo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toledo | 0 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.9% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 13.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1