Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 10:00 •
Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.25)
0.99 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 34.6% | 45.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.1%
0 - 1
21.0%
1 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Tarancón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villarrobledo | 0 | 21.1% | 21.0% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 22% | 56% |
| Attack | 13% | 38% |
| Defense | 75% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Tarancón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Villarrobledo: LDD • Tarancón: DWD
League goals
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Tarancón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villarrobledo | Tarancón | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Tarancón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 33.2% | 66.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tarancón and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villarrobledo = 0.56 (league 1.25), Tarancón = 0.99 (league 1.01)
| Tarancón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villarrobledo | 0 | 21.1% | 21.0% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 45.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1