Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:00 •
Polideportivo Estadio Municipal Tarancón
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.32)
0.80 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.8% | 26.0% | 19.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Manchego | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tarancón | 0 | 9.9% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tarancón | Manchego |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 67% | 50% |
| Attack | 46% | 23% |
| Defense | 85% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tarancón | Manchego | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Tarancón: DWDW • Manchego: LWLW
League goals
| Metric | Tarancón | Manchego | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tarancón | Manchego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tarancón | Manchego | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tarancón | Manchego |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tarancón | Manchego |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tarancón | Manchego |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Tarancón or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tarancón = 1.51 (league 1.32), Manchego = 0.80 (league 1.00)
| Manchego | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tarancón | 0 | 9.9% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 19.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1