Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 15:00 •
Polideportivo Juan Carlos I
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.28)
0.25 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.8% | 50.0% | 13.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
43.4%
1 - 0
25.4%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Villarrubia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchego | 0 | 43.4% | 10.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchego | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 73% |
| Attack | 36% | 50% |
| Defense | 57% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchego | Villarrubia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 100% | 0% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Manchego: LWLWW • Villarrubia: WDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Manchego | Villarrubia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchego | Villarrubia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 60% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchego | Villarrubia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchego | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchego | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchego | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Villarrubia and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manchego = 0.59 (league 1.28), Villarrubia = 0.25 (league 1.00)
| Villarrubia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchego | 0 | 43.4% | 10.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 50.0% · Away win 13.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1