Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Illescas
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.25)
1.59 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.6% | 24.4% | 63.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.4%
0 - 2
15.4%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Tarancón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Illescas | 0 | 12.2% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Illescas | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 29% | 50% |
| Defense | 71% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
42%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Illescas | Tarancón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 100% | 40% |
| Draws | 100% | 33% | 60% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Illescas: DDWDL • Tarancón: DWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Illescas | Tarancón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Illescas | Tarancón | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 40% | 100% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Illescas | Tarancón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Illescas | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Illescas | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Illescas | Tarancón |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Illescas or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Illescas = 0.51 (league 1.25), Tarancón = 1.59 (league 1.01)
| Tarancón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Illescas | 0 | 12.2% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 63.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1