Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:00 •
Polideportivo Juan Carlos I
Expected Goals
2.66 (league 1.32)
0.70 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.6% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.3%
3 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Marchamalo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchego | 0 | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchego | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 88% |
| Defense | 13% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchego | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 57% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 75% | 0% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 100% | 43% |
Form: Manchego: LWLWWDW • Marchamalo: DLWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Manchego | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchego | Marchamalo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 86% | 100% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 14% | 14% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchego | Marchamalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchego | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchego | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-4 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchego | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Manchego or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manchego = 2.66 (league 1.32), Marchamalo = 0.70 (league 1.00)
| Marchamalo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchego | 0 | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.6% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 7.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1