Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo
Match Finished
6 - 1
Expected Goals
3.48 (league 1.32) 0.49 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.9% 6.8% 2.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.3%
4 - 0
11.6%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sonseca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toledo 0 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.0% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToledoSonseca
Played55
Form73%7%
Attack75%50%
Defense88%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toledo Sonseca
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%25%43%0%0%0%
Draws33%75%57%50%33%43%
Loses0%0%0%50%67%57%

Form: Toledo: DDDWDWW • Sonseca: DDLLDLL

League goals

Metric Toledo Sonseca
HATHAT
GF total628325
GF avg2.00.51.10.80.70.7
GA total2136713
GA avg0.70.30.41.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToledoSonseca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%43%86%
1.529%0%29%57%
2.514%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToledoSonseca
HATHAT
Clean sheets134011
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricToledoSonseca
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricToledoSonseca
Wins10
Draws32
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-1——
Biggest losses——0-25-2
Goals For3122
Goals Against1125

Model comparison

MetricToledoSonseca
Form92%8%
Att60%40%
Def92%8%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total83.5%16.5%

Advice: Winner : Toledo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toledo = 3.48 (league 1.32), Sonseca = 0.49 (league 1.00)

Sonseca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toledo 0 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.0% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 6.8% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1