Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:30 •
Polideportivo Estadio Municipal Tarancón
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.32)
0.47 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.6% | 40.6% | 20.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.2%
1 - 0
22.1%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Villarrubia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tarancón | 0 | 29.2% | 13.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tarancón | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 92% | 54% |
| Defense | 62% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tarancón | Villarrubia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 83% | 45% | 83% | 0% | 45% |
| Draws | 80% | 0% | 36% | 0% | 60% | 27% |
| Loses | 20% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
Form: Tarancón: DWDWLWDLDWW • Villarrubia: WDWDWDLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Tarancón | Villarrubia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 16 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tarancón | Villarrubia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 64% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 18% | 55% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tarancón | Villarrubia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tarancón | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tarancón | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-7 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tarancón | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 63% | 37% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Tarancón or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tarancón = 0.76 (league 1.32), Villarrubia = 0.47 (league 1.02)
| Villarrubia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tarancón | 0 | 29.2% | 13.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 40.6% · Away win 20.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
