Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 16:00 •
Polideportivo Juan Carlos I
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.32)
0.32 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.9% | 59.0% | 21.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
53.7%
0 - 1
17.1%
1 - 0
16.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Toledo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchego | 0 | 53.7% | 17.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchego | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 85% |
| Defense | 62% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchego | Toledo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 67% | 73% | 83% | 20% | 55% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 9% | 17% | 80% | 45% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Manchego: LWLWWDWWWWW • Toledo: DDDWDWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Manchego | Toledo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 16 | 2 | 18 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchego | Toledo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 82% | 73% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 18% | 36% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 9% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchego | Toledo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchego | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchego | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-5 | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchego | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Manchego or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manchego = 0.30 (league 1.32), Toledo = 0.32 (league 1.00)
| Toledo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchego | 0 | 53.7% | 17.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 59.0% · Away win 21.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1