Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.31) 0.92 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.4% 16.6% 11.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.4%
3 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Illescas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toledo 0 3.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.3% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 5.3% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToledoIllescas
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack79%43%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toledo Illescas
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins83%17%50%17%50%33%
Draws17%83%50%67%17%42%
Loses0%0%0%17%33%25%

Form: Toledo: DDDWDWWWWDWD • Illescas: DDWDLLWDWWLD

League goals

Metric Toledo Illescas
HATHAT
GF total163195813
GF avg2.70.51.60.81.31.1
GA total4265712
GA avg0.70.30.50.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToledoIllescas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%67%58%
1.533%0%33%33%
2.525%0%8%8%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToledoIllescas
HATHAT
Clean sheets246325
Failed to score033314

Penalties

MetricToledoIllescas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricToledoIllescas
Wins42
Draws32
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-12-02-3
Biggest losses——0-23-2
Goals For6123
Goals Against1123

Model comparison

MetricToledoIllescas
Form58%42%
Att65%35%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Toledo or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ 1xBet
No1.44 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toledo = 2.48 (league 1.31), Illescas = 0.92 (league 0.99)

Illescas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toledo 0 3.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.3% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 9.4% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 5.3% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 11.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1