Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.31)
2.41 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.8% | 18.9% | 56.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
7.5%
1 - 3
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Manchego | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villarrobledo | 0 | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Manchego |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 73% | 73% |
| Defense | 18% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Manchego | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 43% | 0% | 21% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 43% | 0% | 21% |
| Loses | 29% | 71% | 50% | 0% | 43% | 21% |
Form: Villarrobledo: LDDLLWDDLWLLLW • Manchego: LWLWWDWWWWWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Manchego | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villarrobledo | Manchego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 79% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 43% | 50% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 21% | 21% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 21% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Manchego | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Manchego |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Manchego |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | 4-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villarrobledo | Manchego |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 15% | 85% |
| Total | 33.3% | 66.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Manchego
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villarrobledo = 1.39 (league 1.31), Manchego = 2.41 (league 1.02)
| Manchego | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villarrobledo | 0 | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 56.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1