Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Ciudad de Puertollano
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.30)
0.48 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.3% | 47.5% | 26.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.1%
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 1
18.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Toledo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Calvo Sotelo | 0 | 38.1% | 18.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 87% |
| Attack | 57% | 86% |
| Defense | 93% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Toledo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 86% | 38% | 60% | 88% | 29% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 63% | 33% | 13% | 71% | 40% |
| Loses | 14% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Calvo Sotelo: LDWDWDWWDWDWWWW • Toledo: DDDWDWWWWDWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Toledo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 5 | 27 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Calvo Sotelo | Toledo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 47% | 80% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 13% | 47% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 7% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Toledo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 6-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Calvo Sotelo | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Calvo Sotelo or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Calvo Sotelo = 0.48 (league 1.30), Toledo = 0.48 (league 1.02)
| Toledo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Calvo Sotelo | 0 | 38.1% | 18.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 47.5% · Away win 26.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1