Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Illescas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.31) 0.42 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.1% 38.9% 17.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.0%
1 - 0
24.0%
0 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Villarrobledo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Illescas 0 28.0% 11.7% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIllescasVillarrobledo
Played55
Form13%20%
Attack7%50%
Defense36%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Illescas Villarrobledo
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins14%38%27%38%0%20%
Draws71%13%40%25%29%27%
Loses14%50%33%38%71%53%

Form: Illescas: DDWDLLWDWWLDLDL • Villarrobledo: LDDLLWDDLWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Illescas Villarrobledo
HATHAT
GF total581310414
GF avg0.71.00.91.30.60.9
GA total51419121123
GA avg0.71.81.31.51.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIllescasVillarrobledo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%60%67%80%
1.527%40%7%47%
2.57%20%7%27%
3.50%7%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIllescasVillarrobledo
HATHAT
Clean sheets426213
Failed to score437235

Penalties

MetricIllescasVillarrobledo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricIllescasVillarrobledo
Wins21
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-35-1—
Biggest losses0-24-00-33-1
Goals For2351
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricIllescasVillarrobledo
Form40%60%
Att13%88%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total47.5%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Villarrobledo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away5.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Superbet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Illescas = 0.86 (league 1.31), Villarrobledo = 0.42 (league 1.01)

Villarrobledo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Illescas 0 28.0% 11.7% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.3% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 17.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1