Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 16:00 •
Polideportivo Juan Carlos I
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.31)
0.86 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.1% | 37.4% | 40.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.4%
0 - 1
21.0%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Villacañas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchego | 0 | 24.4% | 21.0% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Manchego | Villacañas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 63% |
| Defense | 75% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Manchego | Villacañas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 63% | 67% | 65% | 50% | 44% | 47% |
| Draws | 38% | 0% | 18% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 24% |
Form: Manchego: LWLWWDWWWWWDLDWWW • Villacañas: WDWLLWDWDDWWLWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Manchego | Villacañas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Manchego | Villacañas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 71% | 59% | 35% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 12% | 29% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Manchego | Villacañas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Manchego | Villacañas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Manchego | Villacañas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Manchego | Villacañas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Manchego or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Manchego = 0.55 (league 1.31), Villacañas = 0.86 (league 1.02)
| Villacañas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Manchego | 0 | 24.4% | 21.0% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 40.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1